Is history repeating itself?

“The Demon of Unrest” by Erik Larson delves into the events leading up to the attack on Fort Sumter in Charleston Harbor. It’s a fascinating look at how two very separate ideologies put the country at odds with each other leading to what would become the American Civil War.

It was during this time that Abraham Lincoln would become the 16th president and was tasked with figuring out a way to keep both sides happy and keep the south from seceding from the Union.

How precarious was his position? Lincoln refused to go to Washington until the final vote was certified by both houses of congress. Complicating matters even more was that John C. Breckinridge, the current vice president was responsible for over-seeing the certification. Breckinridge, a slave owner from Kentucky lost to Lincoln in the 1860 election causing many to fear the country would not be able transition to the new administration and be thrown into chaos.

The election was officially certified, and Lincoln eventually made his way to Washington, D.C. albeit undercover as numerous death threats were made. There Lincoln struggled to understand what was really taking place in the south and was forced to face the war where an estimated 650,000 – 1,000,000 died was inevitable.

While “The Demon of Unrest” focused on the two very different principles between the north and south in the mid-1800’s, it’s hard not think of today’s America. While not geographically divided, America seems to appear to be moving toward going into two distinct camps; the far-left and the far-right, splitting the country into two very separate alliances.

One only has to look back at the events of Jan. 6, 2021 when the United States Capitol Building came under attack and was stormed by an angry mob who were upset by the election results and tried to stop certifying the results of the presidential election of 2020. Similar to Lincoln and northerners not understanding the mentality of people from the south and their believe in slavery as an honest and noble way of life, democrats have a hard time understanding the appeal of people like Donald Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene.

The Civil War did not happen overnight. It took decades of distrust from both sides to reach the point where confederate rebels attacked Fort Sumter, looking to be free to live in a country that shared their values and beliefs. Are we at that point? That will be for historians to decide, but in the meantime, there are valuable lessons to be learned from what took place in the past, and what is taking place now.

It was Karl Marx who said, “history repeats itself”, but perhaps a more appropriate quote would be from George Santayana who poignantly said, “those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it”.

Shut up and dribble

It isn’t easy being a Republican these days. First it was the crazy liberals on the left, followed by the biased media that were the problem. Now there is another opponent taking aim at the GOP and it’s coming from an unlikely source; big business.

It all started in Georgia (where the devil looks for souls to steal) when the state Legislature decided that they needed to tackle voter fraud (and free water/pizza) at the polls. Atlanta, home to Delta Airlines and Coca Cola took notice and issued statements opposing the legislation.

Ed Bastian, Delta chief executive officer wrote an internal memo saying “I need to make it crystal clear that the final bill is unacceptable and does not match Delta’s values”.  Not to be outdone, Coca Cola also joined with James Quincey, Coca-Cola’s chief executive saying “I want to be crystal clear the Coca-Cola Co. does not support this legislation, as it makes it harder for people to vote, not easier.” (Are we clear? Crystal clear.)

The response from the leaders of the Republican party was swift. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said “corporations will invite serious consequences if they become a vehicle for far-left mobs to hijack our country from outside the constitutional order. Businesses must not use economic blackmail to spread disinformation and push bad ideas that citizens reject at the ballot box.”

What stands out is to me is the word “disinformation”. I am reminded of a line from Jesus Christ Super Star where Pontius Pilate asks Jesus “we both have truths, are mine the same as yours?”. I guess McConnell forgot about the “Big Lie” which resulted in attacks on the Capitol in January, or maybe he still believes it.

I also have to think this really stings for many Republicans after passing the “Trump Tax Act” in 2017 cutting the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% (et tu Brutus?).

McConnell is walking a very small tight rope these days trying to balance between the right and the money. Do you risk shutting off campaign contributions (some being very large) by telling corporations to mind their own business? Let’s not forget it was Mitt Romney who quipped “corporations are people my friends” after the Supreme Court ruled in favor of Citizens United allowing unlimited corporate and union spending on political issues back in 2010.

It also leaves many Republicans in the lurch on deciding if they need to boycott Delta, Coca Cola, AT&T, American Express, Merck, Major League Baseball, Aflac, Dell and Amazon. Even Houston Texans owner Janice McNair has joined in to oppose laws that are designed to restrict voting rights (but nobody is really interested in seeing them play anyways so is that really a big deal?).

Elected officials are free to pass laws they feel are in the best interest of their constituents, but people and big business are also free to speak their mind when they disagree. It seems many people still wants us ‘to shut-up and dribble’ when it comes to public discourse.

All about the Benjamins

There seems to be a change in people’s attitudes toward the great racial divide. Mississippi has voted to remove the Confederate symbol from its state flag. The NFL has decided that taking a knee to express one’s support for Black Lives Matter is now OK (although they still have yet to mention Colin Kaepernick) and there is no room for any form of racism in the league (except of course when it comes to cheering on the Redskins). Even Aunt Jemima is getting a make-over (whatever that means).

Yes, it appears people are finally finding the moral courage to stand up, taking action and saying change is needed, but what is really behind the states, sports leagues and companies change of heart. Could there be another motive behind this new way of thinking.

It was back in 1955 (when America was great) that the Montgomery Bus Boycott, a civil rights campaign took place. African Americans refused to ride city buses in Montgomery, Alabama, to protest segregated seating which took place.

A group of black women working for civil rights, began circulating flyers calling for a boycott of the bus system the day Rosa Parks, who refused to give up a seat for a white bus rider, would be tried in municipal court.

At the time, African Americans represented nearly 75% of Montgomery’s bus ridership. At the beginning, the city resisted complying with the protester’s demands. To ensure the boycott could be sustained, black leaders organized carpools and the city’s African American taxi drivers charged only 10 cents—the same price as bus fare—for African American riders.

Many black residents chose simply to walk to work or other destinations. Black leaders organized regular mass meetings to keep African American residents mobilized around the boycott.

The boycott proved extremely effective with enough riders lost to the city transit system to cause serious economic distress. Many other factors also played a role in lifting segregated seating regulations. Legal skirmishes were fought with the case making its way to the United States Supreme Court who ruled segregation on public buses and transportation was against the law.

The Montgomery Bus Boycott was not the only act of “civil disobedience.” The A.F.L. All-Star game was moved from New Orleans to Houston in 1965 after black players were left stranded at the airport for hours when they arrived in town. Once in the city African American players were refused cab service and in some cases those who were given rides were dropped off miles from their destinations. Other players were refused admittance to nightspots and restaurants, with many subjected to verbal abuse and a hostile atmosphere on Bourbon Street in the French Quarter.

New Orleans had been pitching an attempt to attract a professional football franchise whether in the A.F.L. or the N.F.L. for years. It took an additional two years after fumbling the A.F.L. All-Star Game for the city to bring enough change for them to get a NFL franchise.

Economic boycotts are nothing new. Countries have applied those tactics for years against each other with various degrees of success. America was founded, in part, by boycotting British goods under the umbrella of “No taxation without representation”.

So it’s no surprise companies, sports leagues and states are now embracing equal rights and Black Lives Matter. They can sense a movement and with that comes economic opportunity or ruin. When it comes to enacting change, the all-mighty dollar can be more of a powerful weapon than simply wanting to do the right thing.

Law and disorder

It’s been a while since I posted here, but there is a lot going on in the world today. Between the COVID-19 pandemic, racial unrest and police tactics, the calendar feels like it should be 1967, not 2020.

It would be hard to know what to make of current events under normal circumstances, but these are not normal times. Take for example the executive order signed by Texas Governor Greg that closed all nonessential businesses including barber shops and hair salons.

The order was pretty clear there would be consequences for those not complying with the order…

WHEREAS, under Section 418. 173, failure to comply with any executive order issued during the COVID-19 disaster is an offense punishable by a fine not to exceed $1,000, confinement in jail for a term not to exceed 180 days, or both fine and confinement.

A Dallas hair salon owner who had enough decided to take the law into her own hands and defied state and local orders for nonessential businesses to remain closed when she reopened Salon À La Mode. She tore up a cease-and-desist letter sent to her by local officials and was placed in jail (per Section 418.173).

The governor’s reaction? He tiptoed backward and eliminated confinement as a punishment for violating the executive orders and doing so handed the owner a get out of jail free card.

“Throwing Texans in jail who have had their businesses shut down through no fault of their own is nonsensical,” the governor said in a statement, “and I will not allow it to happen.”

Get that? She violated his executive order and he ended up saying that that his order was nonsensical (make sense?). Senator Ted Cruz was one of the first persons to visit the establish after it reopened (legally this time) and be coiffured and celebrate the violation of the executive order. One wonders if Cruz would have been that brave had the owner (who was white) been black or Latino.

Lt. Governor Dan Patrick, who apparently was in such a desperate need of a trim said that he and other grandparents would be willing to risk their health and even lives in order for the United States to “get back to work” amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Yes, these are strange times. I am glad I don’t have to make the decisions our leaders are faced with, but in today’s hyperbole world of political gesturing, it would be nice for people to try to use a little common sense, but sadly that commodity is much like the toilet paper was at the start of all this.

COVID-19 and the 1918 flu epidemic

The Oct. 11, 1918, edition of the Houston Post includes a notice that city teachers were still to be paid, despite the fact that schools were closed because of the epidemic. (Photo courtesy of University of North Texas Libraries, The Portal to Texas History, https://texashistory.unt.edu)

The outbreak of COVID-19 has many historians drawing comparisons to the 1918 flu epidemic. Much like the coronavirus, authorities in 1918 responded to the epidemic with a combination of church, school and theater closures, cancellations or prohibitions of public gatherings in attempts to quarantine the ill.

“In 1918, most people would have experienced some kind of disruption to their lives due to the influenza outbreak,” said Rebecca A. Howard, Ph.D., LSC associate professor of History. “Some of the closings and cancellations were ordered locally, others came from the state level.”

It is estimated that 500 million people, about one-third of the world’s population at that time, had been infected and more than 50 million people worldwide died from the 1918 flu epidemic. It killed people within a few days and stood out because it often killed young and health people, not just the very young and the very old like most influenza outbreaks.

“We don’t know the exact numbers, even in the United States,” said Howard. “The systems for death certificates, if they even existed, became overwhelmed in both urban and rural areas. So we have a mix of official records backed up by oral histories.”

The 1918 flu epidemic is not the only 20th-century event which forced self-quarantine measures. During World War II, polio epidemics became especially common. An ancient disease, poliovirus caused paralysis, especially in children. Those who survived often lost the use of their limbs for life.

“Since poliovirus tended to spread in the summer, sleep away camps, public swimming pools, movie theaters, local festivals and even public libraries would close if there were cases reported in the area,” said Howard. “Diphtheria epidemics also repeatedly closed churches and schools and limited public gatherings throughout the early 20th century. Entire towns were put under quarantine.”

Diphtheria, a bacterial infection, blocks the throat with thick mucus often  causing death. Children under the age of 6 would most likely be impacted. Adults could be carriers for the disease and unknowingly give it to children.

During that time, newspapers and public notices in places like post offices were the means of informing the public about social distancing rules.

“We would consider it a violation of privacy today, but it was extremely common to list the names of families that were under quarantine in their homes in newspapers due to the disease,” said Howard. “How else would people know not to come over?”

One of the most important things we learned from the past was that controlling diseases required a response at many levels of American society.

“The 1918 flu was spread by soldiers returning from World War I and much of the early information about the epidemic was deliberately hidden from the public out of fear it would hurt morale during a war,” said Howard. “By the 1940s and early 1950s, with a robust federal system honed by World War II, you saw a much stronger federal response to polio, especially in tracking the spread of it.”

All in this together

The world has not ended, its just slowed down (a lot). COVID-19 has turned mother earth on her head and forced us to grapple with words like social-distancing, flatting the curve, 20 second hand-washing techniques and self-quarantine. It has also left us wondering who is more important, the CEO of a Fortune 500 company, or the kid who stocks toilet paper at the local grocery store.

Reading and watching reports on the impact of COVID-19, the world suddenly seems smaller. It doesn’t care what a person’s gender, race or ethnic background is. Whether you are rich, or poor, famous or just a regular resident of planet earth (although being rich and famous does seem to help you get tested quicker) COVID-19 is a real threat. We are not alone. What Americans are going through is also being felt by people across the globe.

I am reminded of another time when it seemed the planet, for a brief moment, came together to understand exactly how fragile our world is.

It was in December 1972 when Apollo 8 astronauts Bill Anders, Frank Borman and James Lovell rocketed to the moon. While Apollo 11 with Neil Armstrong (being the first human to step on lunar surface) would become more famous, a single photograph from the Apollo 8 mission captured what arguably became one of the most important images in history.

For the first time people saw earth not as a large powerful planet, but as a small defenseless little bright blue orb whizzing through space. It provided a vulnerable look at just how fragile we all were. Time and Life magazine highlighted it as an era-defining image.

People began looking around at how we were treating mother earth and many did not like what they saw. The Environmental Protection Agency, formed by President Nixon in 1970, really begin to make a difference  to enacting early air pollution control efforts after the photo became widespread. Did that iconic photo help? One cannot help but think it did.

While this pandemic continues to spread its terror, I wonder if the world will have another ah-hah moment and understand that, given all our differences, in the end we are all in this together. Will there be an iconic moment where we all shake our heads in agreement and say something needs to be done, or will we when things begin to calm down, conduct business as usual.

Memories, they say, can be short-lived. It seems that the human race could also fall to that peril.

Presumed innocent…unless

Stop and Frisk has been in the news lately.

A stop-and-frisk refers to a brief non-intrusive police stop of a suspect. The Fourth Amendment requires that before stopping the suspect, the police must have a reasonable suspicion that a crime has been, is being, or is about to be committed by the suspect.

The obvious question is what is a reasonable suspicion. Former New York City Mayor, presidential candidate and billionaire Michael Bloomberg has come under fire lately due to the New York City Police Department practice of temporarily detaining, questioning, and at times searching civilians and suspects on the street for weapons and other contraband.

Bloomberg has since denounced the practice, but questions remain as to his motivation other than now he is running for president.

While reading up on this story, it made me wonder about the Show Me Your Papers Bill, formally known as Texas Senate Bill 4 which mandates local jails comply with voluntary U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) detainer requests. The bill which was signed into law in 2017 also allows citizens to initiate investigations of alleged sanctuary cities and counties merely because the locality “endorses” a policy of non-cooperation with ICE.

The Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled most of the law, except for a portion punishing officials who “endorse” sanctuary city policies, could go into effect while the case was pending in March 2018.

The lines can get blurred very quickly with both, stop and frisk, and show my your papers. The presumption of innocence comes into play when law enforcement does not need to obtain a warrant to search someone who is “suspected” of committing a crime.

I know that probable cause also comes into play (which is also protected by the Fourth Amendment), but again, while one person might feel there reasonable suspicion, another would disagree.

Many would argue that race is a major factor in both these situations and who is to say they are wrong. Much of the stop and frisk activity took place in poor neighborhoods mostly populated by minorities. My guess is the folks living on Park Avenue were not worried about being stopped.

Flipping the narrative

There is a negative connotation to the phrase “flipping the narrative”. Some might call it “spin” or “propaganda” and find it dishonest, but that is not always the case. Take Wells Fargo for example.

The California Department of Insurance accused Wells Fargo of issuing nearly 1,500 insurance policies without their customers knowledge or permission from 2008 to 2016. The bank agreed to pay a $10 million penalty in January 2019 as part of a settlement agreement. This caused severe brand perception causing customer trust to free-fall.

So how to rebuild that trust? The bank took the steps to acknowledge what it did and that is was wrong and flip the narrative to move the story forward.

Check out their video that was posted to YouTube.

As you can see, the video walks the viewer through the history of the bank with a dramatic fade to black and no audio after their mistake was shown. The effect of going to black sends a powerful message that shows they knew what happened was wrong. The video then picks up with a sense of optimism about the future and how it is moving forward to regain customer trust.

I realize this is just one video, but I found the courage to produce and post it extraordinary. Nobody likes talking about past mistakes and I can’t imagine the suits in the corner office being comfortable with reminding people what they did, yet America, if nothing else, loves to forgive.

Remember Mike Tyson (arrested and charged with raping beauty queen Desiree Washington in 1991) who ended up starring in The Hangover? Other celebrities like Robert Downey Jr., Mark Wahlberg and Martha Stewart have all been able to resurrect their careers after various offenses.

I get the Wells Fargo is an institution and not a celebrity, but it does feel that Americans can find it in themselves to forgive, especially when someone, or something is willing to own up.

Pedaling in place

Advertising is often a hit and miss proposition. Some ads generate tremendous buzz and resonate with audiences, while others miss the mark altogether. That being said, I have to say I am a little surprised at the backlash Peloton is getting on their latest TV commercial.

The commercial begins with a young women whose spouse/partner surprises her with a Pelton bike on Christmas morning. She then chronicles her yearlong fitness journey on her phone and makes a video diary that she plays the following Christmas.

So what’s the problem? Many people (I assume they are not BOTS or the Russians) on social media are blasting the ad for using a thin, young women who apparently does not look like she need to exercise. Some have gone so far as saying the ad had a dystopia vibe and brought visions of a horror film.

While criticizing an ad is not uncommon, the fact that the company’s stock lost 9% of its value in one day will certainly make people in the corner office take notice. A representative for Peloton released a statement to CNBC, stating that while they “were disappointed in how some have misinterpreted this commercial,” they were also grateful to their existing community.

One of the problems Peloton faces is that their “existing community” is pretty small. The bikes are really expensive. The basic package runs $2,245 with membership costing $39 a month and you need to figure out where it fits in your homes décor.

The ad missed the mark, not on the messaging, but the delivery. The women appears terrified at times and it feels like she is being forced to ride. Perhaps if the spouse/partner joined in and made it a fun, family thing, it would have gone over better.

The whole thing comes across as snobbish and arrogant, but then that’s how I picture the people that own one.

Tell me something good

There is no doubt social media has taken the world wide web by storm. Starting with platforms like MySpace to Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and more coming online; it’s hard to imagine how we lived without it.

I found this study to be interesting (despite the fact they don’t breakdown the age demos correctly)…

While many may consider social media as a utility (a place to get information, news, etc.), the data shows us it is much more than that.

Social media is personal. The younger the demo, the more personal it becomes. Look as the percentage of people who use social media to get inspired. They are using it to become energized, learn more and try new things.

Today’s social media users want a real experience that is useful and relevant. As our world becomes more connected, it’s important to remember the content posted needs to matter to the audience.